Monday, April 20, 2015

MARLIN | Blogs and Projects 2015 (Updated October 28, 2015)

William H. Woodin, FDR's First Treasury Secretary
My top projects as of fall 2015:

1. Will Woodin, FDR's First Treasury Secretary - biography.

2. The Boissevain and van Hall Families in the Dutch Resistance - family biography of 1940-45.

3. Biographies of Eugen Boissevain, Hilda van Stockum, Alice Tepper Marlin.

I would love it if anyone who reads this could look at the chapters I have posted above under 1 and 2 and comment. My email address is John[at]CityEconomist[dot]com.

Meanwhile, I post regularly on the following nine blogsites, listed in order of cumulative number of PageViews, which now approach one million.

1. CityEconomist.blogspot.com (Regional, Economic History) 
2. Ox-Cam NYC (Oxford, Cambridge Themes)
3. Writers4Kids.blogspot.com (Children's Books, Birthdays)
4. CSRNYC (Corporate Social Responsibility)
5. NYCTimeTraveler.blogspot.com (History)
6. Warriors-Families (Military History, Economics)
7. Hilda van Stockum (Her Books, Art, Life, Family)
8. Inez Milholland (Her Life, Husband Eugen Boissevain, His second wife Edna St. Vincent Millay) 
9. Boissevain Books (Children's Books, Memoirs, Bios, SciFi)

Tuesday, March 17, 2015

PHISHER? | Or Just a Spoofer?

Spoofer. Smaller eyes, shorter teeth. Darker fur.
Often less dangerous than a Phisher, but...
It may help to look at the attached photos to appreciate the differences between Spoofers and Phishers.

They have some things in common - like two long teeth on both the upper and lower jaws with which they can rip your throat out and then proceed on a more leisurely basis to the rest of what's left of you.

Both spoofers and phishers are e-thieves.

It pays, therefore, to learn their M.O.'s and take the steps recommended below to prevent yourself being damaged by either of them.

They say good judgment comes from experience... Experience comes from bad judgment. But let's move on.

Spoofers

Spoofers change the apparent sender details on an e-mail and fool you into thinking they are someone they are not. This could just be for fun, or more likely it could have an ulterior motive of getting you to believe that the person they are pretending to be is in trouble. So you may get an email that looks like it is from your classmate Fred, who explains he is in Paris and he lost his wallet and could you please wire cash immediately to Western Union to be picked up by Fred's friend Maham Xuru. Anyone asking you to send money to Western Union is immediately suspicious, because that is a favorite way of getting money.
Phisher. Longer teeth, wider eyes. Longer fur, lighter shade
of color. Does not have your interest at heart.

Phishers

Phishers design emails to try to get you give up sensitive information.

They are more dangerous because if their design works, you may not realize you are giving them access to sensitive information.

Sensitive means passwords that enable e-thieves to remove money from your bank account directly... or charge something to your credit card.

Spoofers and Phishers Work in Teams

The two predators can work together.

You may get an email that looks like it's from someone you know, and then gets emails designed to coax you to give access to passwords to opening your accounts.

Spotting Spoofers

Spoofers are clever at hiding, but there are ways to spot them.

One technique they are using is to include the logos of the companies they are pretending to be. Once upon a time, they would just send an email saying "This is the AOL E-mail Memory Department - you have exceeded your 2 Gigabyte limit - click on the link below to expand your memory or we will close your account." Now spoofer is more likely to include the AOL logo and other indications that this is a genuine warning.

One of the cleverest techniques is to have the e-mail come from the Fraud Prevention Department, or include a link marked "Unsubscribe".  It would be cute or funny if their purpose wasn't so deadly.

Return e-mail addressed may include slightly altered names that substitute a different domain ending or a different letter in the name of the organization - a zero instead of an O, for example.

AOL and other ISPs have been showing headers in e-mails, or allowing this as an option, which makes it easier to spot spoofers.

The worst case is when a spoofer manages to take over a computer. That happened to me. I basically had to buy another computer. Good judgment comes from experience. Experience comes from bad judgment.

Spotting Phishers

Phishers are easy to identify through the trail that they lay out for you. They want you to come to a place where they can jump up at you and finish you off with a lunge at your throat.

Essentially, phishers want to make money by charging a thing, or things, to your account that you will never see, or by simply taking money out of an account.  Spoofing is a stop on the way to achieving their purpose.

They want the phishee to provide personal information through a reply to an e-mail or through filling out a fork on a website.

Protecting Yourself

Before following a link, hover your cursor over it and check that the address matches the one you think you are going to or sending to. Here are the questions that should be going through your mind:
  • What Are They Asking for? Be careful about any email that asks for your social security number or tax identification number, your bank account information, credit card number, PIN number, credit card security code, your mother's maiden name, your birthplace or your favorite pet's name.
  • Is the English Grammatical? Poor grammar or typographical errors may mean the e-mail is being tranlasted automatically from another language or is sent by people for whom English is not their first language.
  • Does the Return Address Look Genuine? If the "received from"or "reply to"  for the e-mail looks strange, start worrying. Most e-mail programs let you look at the source of the e-mail. 
  • Does the Website Look Real? Some phishers set up spoof websites. When in doubt, reply directly to a known e-mail address.  
  • Does the E-mail Address Look Real? Some phishing e-mails include a link that looks as though it will take you to a real account, but it is really a shortened link to a completely different website. If you hover over the link with your mouse when viewing the message in your e-mail client, you often can see the underlying false website, as a pop-up or in the browser status bar.
  • Do They Offer a Chance to "Unsubscribe"? Spammers often use the "Unsubscribe" button to  create a list of valid e-mail addresses for nefarious purposes.
To fight phishing, go here: http://www.antiphishing.org. American Express is dedicated to fighting spoofing and phishing - their security site seems to be open.                             

Saturday, February 14, 2015

WW2 | Boissevain Family in the Resistance

The Dutch Resistance Museum opens with questions.
What would you do if the Nazis occupied your country?
AMSTERDAM, Feb 14, 2015–Visited Het Verzetsmuseum (The Dutch Resistance Museum) yesterday.

I am researching for a book what the Boissevain and van Hall families  did during the Nazi occupation of Holland, 1940-1945. The outline is posted here.

One of the chilling features of the Verzetsmuseum is its diary of the increasing pressure on the Dutch as the Occupation, which lasted five years, became increasingly confrontational. The Nazis expected the same cooperation in Holland from their Dutch cousins as they got in Austria.

After the German army moved into Holland, the Verzetsmuseum  handbook (English version), quotes from the diary of a housewife living in the Hague about the dread that overtook them all:

Especially for the Jews. Oh, that tormented race. The arrival of the Germans filled them with fear, fear about the fate that was now awaiting them. Many of them preferred suicide to awaiting their fate. Entire families together. (Het Verzetsmuseum, 24, emphasis added.)
For the next few months, however, the occupying Nazis played a clever game, trying to reassure non-Jewish Dutch people that they were benign rulers.
The occupiers behaved properly, hoping to win over the Dutch, as part of the “Germanic brotherhood”, to National Socialism. As a gesture of goodwill, after the Dutch army was disbanded, they released the Dutch prisoners of war. … Many Dutch people thought they ought to reconcile themselves to the situation. (Het Verzetsmuseum, 24.)
That all changed with the General Strike in 1941.

Friday, February 13, 2015

Clever New Phishing Scam

Inside a spamming email from a phisher is the link "Report as Spam."

It is clever because it is unexpected.

When I realized what I had done, I immediately shut down the laptop and rebooted. Now I am more wary.

Saturday, November 29, 2014

Spoofed Again - Looking for Advice

A warning note from CERN.
On Thanksgiving Day I was spoofed again for the first time in two years. (Previously I was spoofed/phished using Norton antivirus software on a Vaio PC with Internet Explorer; SONY no longer services these  Vaios.)

A spoof occurs when a malicious hacker gets email addresses from your contact list and sends emails that look as thought they are coming from you. The hacker is "phishing" for someone to click a URL in order to get begin getting access to another computer or to persuade the recipient to send money.

A favorite spoof is an appeal to you to wire money to someone on your email list who is stranded in a foreign country like Nigeria and needs instant cash to buy a plane ticket home. You will be repaid as soon as the sender returns. Yeah, sure.

Someone got access to my AOL contact list and sent emails to a couple of hundred people saying in my name: "I recommend this - click here." I myself have received many such emails and by now I know enough not to click on them. Another clue to recipients of the spoof in my name was that the email address attached to the sender was a name that looked nothing like mine. But still, I am sorry this happened and I am taking steps to prevent a recurrence.

Ever since I purchased a Mac, I have not had a virus problem, so this is a first on the new computer. Someone who received one of the spoofs sent me an email sympathizing and suggesting I change my ISP password and have a complete scan of my computer with the Kaspersky antivirus program or another one that works. This program costs money to buy and more money to keep updated. So I sought advice. Here's what I did:
1. I called AOL right away and changed my password. It is now a unique password that I use for no other purpose.
2. At the same time, I changed my security question and answer. It is one that could not be guessed from any bio.
3. I was advised by AOL tech support to check whether I am getting properly covered by McAfee. Then I discovered that AOL's McAfee download is not compatible with Mac computers and operating systems or on Safari. It requires Windows and Explorer or Firefox.
4. So then I went to JustAsk.com and asked for advice on an anti-virus program that works with Macs. (On JustAsk you rate the answer and you pay a fee for the answer if you are satisfied.) I was told to use AVG, a free Dutch-based antivirus program with an office in San Francisco. AVG got rave reviews in 2006-2010. I did this and the program searched 1.3 million files and found four Trojan horses, which have all been removed and the files in which they appear have been deleted. The Trojan horses were all in AOL messages that had these subject lines: "service completed", "payment advice", "invoice" and "payment".
5. Then I read a review that says that AVG in 2014 is not so good any more. Bummer.
So now I am looking for advice again from anyone who has faced any of these problems and dealt with them satisfactorily. I started to load OS X 10.10 (Yosemite) and I see that it has created a host of problems for some people. The one-star rating is the most common rating of the new software. I am holding off on upgrading to the new Mac operating system.

Sunday, October 05, 2014

Sugar Substitutes

Finally, an authoritative guide to non-sugar sweeteners is out - a page of information in the October 2014 issue of Nutrition Action Healthletter (p. 9).

Bottom line, sugar substitutes do not cause weight gain, but they create the risk for those who use them that they can consume more solid-food calories because their beverage is a diet drink.

Nutrition Action provides a list of chemicals and their brand names, along with red, orange and green codes to indicate the risks.

RED (Avoid)
Acesufame-potassium, as in Equal (blue packets) Original and Equal Spoonful.
Aspartame, as in AminoSweet, Equal, Nutrasweet
Saccharin, as in Equal Next, Equal Saccharin and Sweet 'N Low (pink packets)

ORANGE (Caution)
Sucralose, as in Equal Sucralose and Splenda (yellow packets)
Monk Fruit extract, as in Monk Fruit in the Raw and Nectresse
Erythritol, Sorbitol, Xylitol and other sugar alcohols are safe in small quantities.

GREEN (Safe)
Advantame or Neotame (as in Newtame)
Stevia leaf extract, as in Pure Via, Sweetleaf, Truvia (includes erythritol)

I am switching to Stevia leaf extract, if I can find it in the stores. Or the Advantame or Newtame.

Sunday, September 28, 2014

CITYECONOMIST | Blog Passes 100K Page Views

Thanks for reading! - John TM
CityEconomist has 100,000 page views since 2008 - 9,000 page views in August 2014. Next most widely read is Oxford-Cambridge Boat Race NYC.
Top Posts - Since 2008
Top Posts - August 2014
How the Clinton Health Care Plan Was Killed Jan 31, 2009, 5 comments PSEG in East Hampton - Atrocity, Then Outrage Aug 26, 2014, 3 comments
Causes of the Depression: Real Estate Speculation ... Feb 23, 2009, 2 comments Workplace Innovation - Where Brazil Was #1 in 2014... Jul 29, 2014, 1 comment
What Keynes Said and What Bush Did Jun 23, 2012, 0 comments Art Biz - Ottawa - Orange Art Gallery (Comment on ... Sep 14, 2014, 1 comment
NYC More Catholic, Jewish, Muslim Feb 15, 2008, 0 comments Obit - Andrew Kay, the Kaypro and IBM (Comment ... Sep 7, 2014, 1 comment
BBC Panorama on U.S. Health Care Jan 25, 2009, 3 comments U.S. Economy - "Animal Spirits" Poking Out Jul 30, 2014,1 comment
In the Eye of the Storm: NYC OMB's Mark Page Mar 22, 2009,1 comment PSEG - Long Island Utility 2.0 Plan, Comments by J... Sep 1, 2014,1 comment
U.S. Financial Regulation 2008 Mar 22, 2008, 0 comments NYC More Catholic, Jewish, Muslim Feb 15, 2008, 0 comments
NYC Tax Amnesty: A Good Idea? Feb 27, 2009, 0 comments PSEG's Toxic Pole March, NJ to Long Island, N... Aug 28, 2014,1 comment
Bipartisan Center Takes on Bangladeshi Work... May 31, 2013, 3 comments Obit - Michael Katz, Poverty Historian Sep 5, 2014, 1 comment
Workplace Innovation - Where Brazil Was #1 in 2014... Jul 29, 2014, 1 comment Wake-Up Call to NYC on SSBs (Guest Post) Jan 21, 2014, 5 comments

Sunday, June 26, 2011

DR. OLGA MARLIN | D. Litt, Strathmore Univ., 2011 (Updated May 1, 2016)

Prof. John Odhiambo, Vice
Chancellor of Strathmore (L) and
Dr. Olga E. Marlin (R).
Nairobi, Kenya, June 26, 2011–I was proud to be by my sister's side the day before yesterday, as Olga Emily Marlin received her Doctor of Letters (D. Litt., honoris causa) degree from Strathmore University here in Nairobi.

This is the 50th year of Strathmore's existence, first as a college and then as a university. Olga has been a Kenyan resident for more than 50 years and became a Kenyan citizen in 1969, six years after independence.

Olga accepting the honorary doctorate.
Photo by JT Marlin.
Kenya Television Network (KTN, Channel 12) interviewed Olga on her 50 years of work in Kenya. The interview is scheduled to be aired this evening as part of KTN's weekend news show, right before House, Law and Order, and Mad Men.

Olga's memoir, To Africa with a Dream, was first published in 2002 by Sceptre Publishers in New York. A second edition with six new pages of photographs and a new Preface has just been published by Boissevain Books.

STRATHMORE UNIVERSITY ANNOUNCEMENT

Strathmore University posted the following to announce the award of Olga's honorary degree:
The University will during its 2011 graduation ceremony on Friday, 24th June award an honorary Doctor of Letters (D.LITT HONORIS CAUSA) to Miss Olga Emily Marlin, the first Principal of Kianda College; a member of the University Council, and the author of the autobiography 'To Africa With a Dream'. The title of the book now in its second edition captures the inspiring vision behind Miss Marlin's outstanding contributions to the multi-dimensional development of women since her arrival in Kenya 50 years ago. She arrived with a group of ladies with the aim of starting a school, one open to women of all races and beliefs. It was a challenging adventure.

Very few African women had access to a formal education. Many women rarely went beyond primary school as they were married at a very early age. They owned very little or nothing, had no voice in decision making and were mainly confined to the homestead, the 'shamba' and the raising of children. Miss Marlin's dream and commitment was to change this situation of women in the home, workplace and society.

Her Academic Background

The eldest of six children, Miss Marlin was born in New York, N.Y. USA on 12th November 1934. Her primary schooling was at the Blessed Sacrament School, Chevy Chase, Maryland while her secondary schooling was successfully completed at St. Paul's Academy, Montreal, Canada. In 1956 she graduated with an M.A. in Modern Languages from Trinity College, Dublin and obtained her Higher Diploma in Education from University College, Dublin in 1957.

Fully equipped with academic content and educational skills, she arrived in Kenya in 1960 as a young competent graduate - enthusiastic, spiritually and humanly committed to her dream. Her main area of specialisation was Education with a flair for languages. Miss Marlin is able to speak English, French and Spanish fluently with a basic knowledge of Kiswahili.

Her Contributions to the Multi-Dimensional Development of Women
The education of women is one of the most important aspects of the growth and development of a nation. Together with other enterprising women, Miss Marlin began the challenging task of the multi-dimensional development of women through carefully selected academic course units and practical training in a variety of learning institutions, initially in the Nairobi area and with time in the tea growing region of Limuru, the Coast Province of Kenya and later in Nigeria.

Leadership for such initiatives were taken and monitored by Miss Marlin through Kianda Foundation, of which she is the Chairperson and Founding Trustee since January 1961. Some of the significant and successful institutions where Miss Marlin played a pioneering role leading to the betterment of the status of women will now be highlighted.

Miss Marlin started her teaching career in two well established British schools: Kenya High School and then Delamere Girls (now known as State House Girls High School) where she served, in each, for a term. In this scenario the two schools had little to offer the indigenous woman as the opportunities were limited or non-existent. However, this experience did not deter Miss Marlin's vision for change. She managed to make friends with the staff and students who enjoyed her French and English classes. She then moved to the Royal Technical College (now University of Nairobi Main Campus) as a lecturer in English Literature for a brief period.
As Kenya's independence approached many British women left Kenya creating opportunities for well paid positions in the public and private sectors of development.

Kianda Secretarial College was opened in 1961 with Miss Marlin as Principal. Many African girls could now pursue a secretarial career while interacting for the first time with girls from other races on an equal footing. Their training helped the girls to become financially independent and provided the necessary means to help their families and communities.

Olga with Well-Wishers, June 2011.
This initiative was supported by well-known Kenyan women such as Mrs. Jemina Gecaga, Kenya's first degree holder and member of Legco; Miss Margaret Kenyatta, the first lady Mayor of Nairobi and Ms. Maria T. Temes, a keen historian and an able administrator. The integral training provided at the College helped to break the racial barrier and enriched the personalities of all. Eventually, Kianda Secretarial College became a part of Strathmore University.

In 1971 and 1972, Miss Marlin was instrumental in setting up a similar college known as Lagoon Executive Secretarial College in Lagos, Nigeria.

Eventually Kianda College became a 'launching pad' for past students who moved on to obtain university degrees or become owners of their own secretarial bureaus and businesses. At the same time, there were other women who qualified as teachers and remained to take an active part in running Kianda College and other institutions.

In 1967 Kibondeni College opened, offering a practical marketable training in the hospitality industry. The students learned to value their career and to give personalised attention to the people they serve.

Through Kimlea Girls Technical Training Centre, whose present Principal is a past student of Kianda College, less privileged girls and mothers from the Limuru tea estates are taught agriculture, knitting, sewing and how to run their own micro enterprises.

The latest development is that of the Tewa Training Centre at Kuruwitu in Kilifi District inaugurated in February 2010. It promotes the education of very poor women and girls in the area to meet the demands of the job market in the hospitality industry. The outreach programmes are designed to uplift the living standards of the women and help them earn a living. Already the beginning of a revolution can be seen among the girls, women and families in the production of food to the astonishment of the local community.

Since 2005, Miss Marlin is a member of the University Council of Strathmore University where her expertise, human warmth and contribution is valued as Chairperson of the Education Policy and Standards Committee of the Council.
CONGRATULATIONS POSTED ON THE UNIVERSITY WEBSITE

Here are eleven congratulatory comments to Olga on the announcement of the Honorary Degree posted on the University website during the first two days, June 23-24, 2011 after the degree was awarded.

1. K. Muchemi: Well deserved. Enhorabuena Dr. Marlin. ¡Salud! Comment, 2011-06-23.

2. jacinta make: Very impressive Miss Marlin, through you our lives have really been transformed. Some of us wouldn't be here if it weren't for you. We are proud of you Miss Marlin, kudos... Comment, 2011-06-23.

3. gngugi: Wow! Ma'am, Thank you. I have read the book, 'To Africa With a Dream' We celebrate your life... Comment, 2011-06-23.

4. bathe: I am delighted that our university has taken the step of honouring Ms. Marlin in this way, as she has contributed so extensively to promoting education and development for women in our beloved country! She is an inspiration to us all! Comment, 2011-06-23.

5. moses w.: Congratulations! You have done a lot. Comment, 2011-06-23.

6. Lilian: Hongera Olga!!!! After reading your book,'To Africa With a Dream', I was moved by how hopeless the situation was in the beginning. Thanks for the priceless contribution to the Education sector in Kenya. Comment, 2011-06-23.

7. Lillian O.: As you climb to the top Olga, rest assured that grateful hands will be holding the ladder from the top and below. Many congratulations!!!! Comment, 2011-06-23.

8. David Ndola: Without a shadow of doubt, Ms Olga Marlin is one of the unspoken heroines of independent Kenya. You are an inspiration... HONGERA!!! Comment, 2011-06-23.

9. Joan G.: Congratulations, we appreciate the work you have done, because am not sure where some of us would be! Asante sana na hongera kwako!!! Comment, 2011-06-24 06:49:02

10. MJ: Wow!!!!Excellent Marlin. This is the shining star which has inspired many. Congratulations!!! Comment, 2011-06-24.

11. Tania VaporidisiI fully agree with the comment made by David Ndolo. It is amazing how much Olga (and her team of committed ladies) has done for Kenya and Africa. She is truly incredible but she is not alone. She couldn't have achieved all this without the Grace of Our Lord. Bravo dear Olga.We are so proud of you, our Principal at Kianda College and my friend, spiritual guide and guardian of my faith. Comment, 2011-06-24. (May 1, 2016: Olga tells me that Tania has since passed on to her eternal reward. May she rest in peace.)

UPDATE ON STRATHMORE, FIVE YEARS LATER (Posted May 1, 2016)

The motto of Strathmore University is Ut omnes unum sint ("That all may be one"). In 2016 it will be 65 years old.  The Chancellor is Msg. Javier Echevarría. The Vice Chancellor is Prof. John Odhiambo.  It has 208 on the academic staff serving 422 undergraduates and 5,088 postgraduates. Its campus includes the Madaraka Estate (40 acres, 162,000 sm). Source: Website, www.strathmore.edu.

HOW TO OBTAIN OLGA'S BOOK

Olga's memoir, To Africa with a Dream, may be obtained online or at a bookstore.
Online. The second edition of To Africa with a Dream, with six pages of photographs and a new preface, is available online from CreateSpace or Amazon. Shipping charges are calculated during the ordering process. 
Bookstores or Direct from the Publisher. Other bookstores selling the book will be posted here upon notification.
  • AUSTRALIA: Sydney, Portico Books.
  • KENYA: Nairobi, Strathmore University bookstore
  • KENYA: Nairobi, Kianda School bookstore.
  • SPAIN: Pamplona, Navarre Clinic Bookstore.

Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Prof. Derman on Names and Occupations

There's a serious story today in the NY Times about Professor Emanuel Derman, who was trained as a physicist and like many other physicists became a "quant" (financial engineer) on Wall Street. He is now a professor of risk at Columbia. He also writes a very funny blog. On March 4 he updated a December 2006 post that he describes it as "not in very good taste": 
Whoo … Ooooh!! Some time in the early 1970s Nature magazine published an article about people whose names matched their occupations. There was a famous neurology textbook "Diseases of the Nervous System" written by Lord Brain. There was a published article on birth control written by Maria Concepcion ... A few days ago I dealt by email with a health plan administrator whose surname was Nurse. And, on the front page of today's New York Times, there's a article about the promising fact that H.I.V. risk is halved by circumcision. From a few paragraphs down into the article: Circumcision is "not a magic bullet, but a potentially important intervention," said Dr. Kevin M. De Cock, director of H.I.V./Aids for the World Health Organization.
That was as far as it went in 2006. But on March 4, Professor Derman is back to his blog. "Once bitten but not yet twice shy, your intrepid follower of news about the razor-sharp policy makers on circumcision at WHO has kept a wary eye out for further developments and breaking news:"
A few paragraphs into a March 3 New York Times article entitled "New Web Site Seeks to Fight Myths About Circumcision and H.I.V." the Times reports that "malecircumcision.org … gathers scientific studies, policy documents and news articles and is meant to help fight popular myths, like the new one that circumcision is 100 percent protective so men can stop using condoms, said Dr. Kim Dickson, a W.H.O. medical officer who oversaw the site’s creation."

Dr. Dickson's last syllable is vaguely reassuring. But closer inspection of the website reveals many contributions from collaborator Dr. Bruce Dick, whose unfortunately adjectival-sounding Christian name, though it suggests a certain fellowship with the beneficiaries of the website, will not inspire popular confidence. It's beginning to be pretty clear about what it takes to get a cutting-edge job at WHO.

Saturday, October 11, 2008

The Dutch National Ballet (Het Nationale Ballet) is performing Mozart’s Don Giovanni with full orchestra (the Holland Symphony) but no singing. The performance is in the beautiful new MuziekTheater at the curve in the Amstel River.

This reworking of the opera into dance three years ago was a critical and popular success. It is now part of the company's repertoire and is on through October and two days beyond.

Alice and I were able to get good seats for 47 euros the same day, a Saturday and picked the up by 7:30 pm for an 8:15 pm curtain.

The plot is clear enough from the opening death of Donna Anna's father at the hands of Don Giovanni to his closing retribution. The details are familiar to anyone who has seen the great opera on stage or in movie form. However, the plot details in the program on sale for 5 euros at the theater are only in Dutch. A plot outline is here (from the NY Opera Company/Columbia University) to follow every scene.

The dancing and music are energetic and riveting. To appreciate the sustained intensity of both over more than two hours, this should probably not be on your schedule for the first or second night after a transatlantic flight. Three sample scenes with music are available online: (1) the opening scene with fencers (one epee per dancer), in which Donna Anna's father, the Commendatore, is killed, (2) a classic Don Juan seduction (one of several) and (3) the Don's descent to a fiery hell when he is exposed and refuses to repent before the Commendatore. Click here for the sample scenes along with written commentary in English.

To cap it all, we had a fine fish dinner (the dory was especially good, and the matching wine was perfect) at the Sluizer, 41-45 Utrecht St., a ten-minute walk from the MuziekTheater.

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Burma's "Malign Neglect"

The following was posted on Huffington Post: Burma's Criminal Malign Neglect.

Burma is making China look like a world leader on human rights. The troops in China are moving out in force to help Chinese eathquake victims, while in Burma the troops have blocked the way to relief from the devastation of the Nargis cyclone.

Now, 11 days since the cyclone, British Foreign Secretary David Miliband told the BBC today that the junta was guilty of "malign neglect" and that he would be amazed if 100,000 Burmese have not already died, with "hundreds of thousands" more at risk of starvation and disease.

He says that a natural disaster is turning into a "humanitarian catastrophe of epic proportions". Afraid that epidemics may already be starting, relief agencies have thrown themselves into the logistics of the enormous challenge, especially in the Irrawaddy Delta, only to find soldiers blocking their way at the behest of the Burma's ailing xenophobic dictator, Senior General Than Shwe.

Sunday, May 11, 2008

American Lobbyist for Myanmar

Myanmar is “a very bad government” Senator John McCain told Katie Couric of CBS on May 8. The  United States should ask China and other neighbors of Myanmar to “really put some pressure” on the junta to accept humanitarian aid.

However, two days later on May 10 at noon, Michael Isikoff of Newsweek broke the story about the connections to this government by the man managing the GOP convention in St. Paul, Minn. - Doug Goodyear, CEO of DCI Group, which earned $3 million in 2007 lobbying for some of the world’s largest companies. The firm’s only foreign client was Myanmar, which paid $348,000 in 2002 to get the United States to "begin a dialogue of political reconciliation" with the regime.

DCI led a PR campaign for the junta, praising the country’s attempts to rein in the drug trade and attacking Bush administration "falsehoods" about rape and other abuses.

Goodyear told Newsweek that the junta's recent refusal to accept aid is "reprehensible." By 6 pm Saturday Goodyear had resigned - see YouTube post on the news.

Friday, March 16, 2007

The Risks of "Alternative Investments"

Harvard has been very successful with "alternative" investments, as its endowment more than quadrupled in value during the 15 years it was managed by Jack R. Meyer, a former Deputy NYC Comptroller.

But the downside of alternative investments was the Orange County fiasco, when County Treasurer Bob Citron borrowed $13 billion to invest in derivatives, betting that interest rates would go down as the Fed decided to move interest rates the other direction. Orange County declared bankruptcy on December 6, 1994.

The San Diego County Employees Retirement Association lost more than $100 million in a hedge fund in NYC's back yard, Amaranth Advisors.

Orange County is again in the news. New Century Financial was a part of the story on February 27 when the Dow dropped by more than 400 points, although China was mostly blamed then. But in yesterday's Dow-drop of 240 points, New Century Financial is at the heart of the story. Bear Stearns led the decline partly because it had just invested in New Century Financial, the second-largest U.S. subprime lender, now on the brink of bankruptcy.

So where is New Century Financial based? In Irvine, California, right in the middle of Orange County.

And what government-supervised pension fund owns a 3.6 percent stake in New Century Financial? The New York State Teachers Retirement System.

Thursday, March 15, 2007

Grousing About the RED Campaign

This post ran earlier today (March 15, 2007) on Huffington Post.

The red grouse (lagopus lagopus) is a middling plump game bird with a hook-tipped bill. It flies up suddenly from the heather, its pale-feathered legs and feet flying, while it calls with a rapid, explosive noise that sounds like “go-back, go-back.”

Sounds like the grousing about the RED campaign. Only a recluse could not know about RED, as luminaries like Bono, Oprah and Spielberg have talked it up and supermodel Christy Turlington has served as its poster girl, sitting unperturbed in her RED dress. Campaign sponsors Apple, Gap Inc., Motorola and Sprint promote their RED products with advertising and then provide flyers in their stores about the campaign beneficiary – the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria in Africa.

Maybe from envy of RED’s success, the “go-back, go-back” call emerged explosively in the first March issue of Advertising Age. Its cover story says the RED campaign cost $100 million and yielded a disappointing $18 million return for the year since the first Gap RED tee shirt went on sale in London.

The facts appear to be different: (1) The advertising and related costs were less than $40 million worldwide, according to the UK Independent. (2) Profits from the campaign came to about $50 million, and the campaign has given $25 million to the Global Fund, five times what the private sector gave to the Global Fund in the previous four years. (3) The U.S. campaign didn’t start until mid-October 2006, so the returns are for only five months.

But quoted complaints about the RED campaign don’t depend at all on which way the RED numbers go. For example, a Cincinnati professor is quoted as worrying that “business is taking on the patina of philanthropy and crowding out philanthropic activity.” At the same time he objects that RED “benefits the for-profit partners much more than the charitable causes.” I was trying to understand his problem and then it came to me: These guys just don’t like corporations poaching on nonprofit turf.

Well now, isn’t this a bird of a different feather? Some activists see corporate money muscling in on the world of charitable causes. What’s their beef, as it were?

- Is it unethical to use causes to promote brands? For 20 years people have been buying Aveda shampoo to reduce toxic chemicals or Body Shop cosmetics to help indigenous peoples. Tying a brand to a cause is not new. The cause is simply an ingredient in what the consumer understands to be part of the brand. The real ethical issue is whether or not the cause actually benefits from sale of the product. Since the RED campaign is reportedly transferring half its profits to the Global Fund, it is doing what it promised.

- Is it wrong for the RED campaign to unite several brands behind a single philanthropy? The aggregation of different brands behind the campaign is what makes it unique. But it worries some. Is the fact that RED prices are higher anti-consumer? Or does it just create a new market niche? Collusion doesn’t seem an issue here because product lines offered by the different companies are different, and non-RED goods remain on sale.

- Are corporate advertising budgets just too influential? If corporate advertising is seen as a problem because of its size, the finger should be pointed first at self-interested corporate advertising, not the RED campaign. RED should get credit for generating money that will substantially expand anti-AIDS programs in Africa, where 5,500 lives are lost each day to AIDS (more than two-thirds of the global total of daily AIDS deaths).

- Does offering a cause-related product reduce charitable giving to the cause? In economic terms, is the RED campaign a complement to private charity or a substitute for it? The theme of the anti-RED Buy Less Crap website is that buying crowds out giving. But it just ain’t so. The RED website announces data showing that because the campaign contributes to public understanding of the AIDS issues in Africa, people are giving more money to this charity than less.

- Finally, and most essentially, is the money going to the wrong cause? The underlying problem for critics may be that they don’t like the RED cause. Is too much money going out of the United States? Is Africa right now a bottomless pit? Is too much going to HIV/AIDS programs? But if other causes feel they deserve more attention, then they should make their case better in the marketplace of worthy philanthropic objects. They should find their own innovative sources of support, not try to undermine the ones that have succeeded. It’s not a zero-sum game.

These issues are fundamental and won’t go away. In the meantime, the promoters of RED should be pleased with their success. RED is a lot better than more African dead.

Wednesday, November 08, 2006

Performance by U.S. Counties and Cities

The mission of the Council on Municipal Performance in 1973-1988 was to try to figure out why some cities and counties provide better services than others. What makes the difference?  

In 1988 its activities were absorbed by the National Civic League. They were also picked up by, among others, the Maxwell School Government Performance Project. The Maxwell School in 2002 rated 40 counties in the United States in five management areas. Five of the counties were in New York State. 

At the top end, the Project overall rated Erie and Westchester Counties C+, which is a failing grade in graduate school. At the low end, Nassau County rated the lowest, at D-, which is the next grade up from failure even for undergraduates. Since the data were collected in 2001 and Nassau has undergone some reforms, an update might carry Nassau County out of the cellar.

Two years before, the Project rated 35 cities, included two cities in NY State – New York City and Buffalo. The city ratings were published in 2000, based on data collected in 1999, when Rudy Giuliani was New York City's mayor.

Combining the New York State county and city numbers together in a single table - not something we asked the Project permission to do - New York City outperformed all of the NY counties in every area with only three exceptions. Westchester excelled in capital management, with a grade of A-, exceeding New York City’s B+. Also, Westchester equaled New York City in financial management, while Buffalo equaled New York City in information technology.

The counties and cities in New York State were given six grades - an overall average grade based on their rating and five ratings in specific areas, namely Financial Management, Human Resources Management, InformationTechnology, Capital Management and Managing for Results.

Erie County's grades were C+ B- C- B C+ C
Monroe County: C C C- D B C
Nassau County: D- F D D+ D- F
Suffolk County: C- B- C- C B- F
Westchester County: C+ B D+ B- A- D+
City of Buffalo: C- C D C C- D+
New York City: B B B- B B+ B

The Project rated counties thoughout the United States, so it was possible to scale the performance of New York counties and cities to a national norm.

FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT: U.S. County Average B-
The Project rates U.S. counties rated highly on financial reporting. All but one county received the Government Finance Officers Association Certificate of Achievement for Excellence in Financial Reporting. Most of the county budgets are viewed as having a good structural balance (i.e., avoiding deficits on a year-to-year basis) and as having strong rainy day funds. Only 15 percent of the counties have a legally required rainy day fund. Nassau County, NY received the only F in the nation.

HUMAN RESOURCES: U.S. County Average C+
Many counties lack of a unified county personnel system, meaning that departments may bid against one another for potential employees. The tight job market of the 1990s forced many counties to improve their salaries and merit pay policies.

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY: U.S. County Average C+
The decentralized nature of county government has hampered introduction of technological efficiency. Different county offices may use different IT systems. Counties are improving their web sites for two-way transactions. The only A’s received in any management area were the IT grades of Fairfax (Va.) and Maricopa (Az.) Counties. Allegheny and Monroe, N.Y. Counties tied for the lowest information technology grade, with a D.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT: U.S. County Average B-
New standards from the Governmental Accounting Standards Board Statement 34 (GASB 34) requie counties to add information on assets and their maintenance needs. Almost all counties have long-term capital improvement plans and solicit citizen input. Baltimore, Fairfax, San Diego, and Westchester, NY Counties tied for the high score of A-. Nassau County’s D- grade was the lowest of the 40 counties studied nationwide.

MANAGING FOR RESULTS: U.S. County Average C+ Only one-fourth of the counties evaluated have formal overall strategic plans, although more counties have departmental strategic planning. Budgets tend to be the main way that counties convey their goals and measure results. Fairfax, Maricopa, and San Diego Counties received the highest grade of A-, while Nassau and Suffolk, NY Counties received the lowest grade of F.

Overall, this record suggests room for improvement in New York State. Some counties have improved their records since 2002 - Nassau is an example. But in the absence of crisis, the incentives and pressures for improvement are not necessarily present.

Iraq Is the Wrong Enemy and It Is a Costly Mistake

Voters have rejected President Bush’s plan for Iraq, described to supporters on October 28, 2006 as designed “to protect the homeland” by first seeking to “find the enemy and defeat them overseas."

The problem is: wrong enemy and serious collateral damage.

Wrong Enemy

The President made a case that terrorists were in Afghanistan, but made no such case in Iraq. The mistake was costly. The annual average cost of the Iraq war is about 2 percent of U.S. GDP, according to new estimates by Nobel Prizewinner Joseph Stiglitz and Harvard Professor Linda Bilmes.

Iraqis themselves have lost $24 billion in 2005 income. Their incomes were 40 percent lower, partly because the destruction of infrastructure that hasn’t been rebuilt – compared with what they might have earned in the absence of war. This estimate by Iraq expert Professor Colin Rowat of the University of Birmingham (UK) is a per-person income loss by Iraqis of roughly 20 times the cost to U.S. residents.

Collateral Damage I - Enemies among U.S. Allies

The war in Iraq has made new enemies among our allies by deceiving them. U.S. credibility among British voters has dwindled over Iraq and the staunch ally of the last two U.S. presidents, Tony Blair, is stepping down.

Collateral Damage II - Draining of U.S. National Guard Resources

The war in Iraq has overtaxed the National Guard, depriving governors of these resources for homeland emergencies like Katrina. No wonder the Democrats picked up Governorships on November 7.

Collateral Damage III - Resistance and New Terrorists

The war in Iraq has created civilian casualties in overseas battlegrounds, generating fury among survivors and a breeding ground for new terrorists. An estimated 2 percent of the Iraqi population has been killed, according to three researchers at Johns Hopkins University and a professor at Baghdad's Al-Mustansiriya University. This number, higher than previous U.N. estimates, was published in the peer-reviewed UK journal Lancet. It is about the same percentage as the overall proportion of civilians killed in World War II in affected countries as a percentage of the pre-war populations of these countries.

Risks of Shock and Awe

At a rally in Sellersburg, Indiana, on Saturday, October 28, President Bush told supporters: "Five years after September the 11th, too many Democrats still do not get it. The best way to protect the homeland is to find the enemy and defeat them overseas." This sounded like the Pet Goat Strategy.

The Pet Goat Strategy. When the President was considering his options after getting news of the 9/11 attacks in a Sarasota, Florida, classroom, pupils read out to him about a girl who had a pet goat that ate too many things. Her angry dad says that the goat must go. But the goat butts a man allegedly planning to steal the family car. The goat becomes a hero and stays. Mission accomplished.

So the Pet Goat Strategy is: Cover up problems with a show of force. Shock and awe. Full speed ahead and damn the torpedoes. This is the essence of the imperial Wolfowitz doctrine.

Risks of the Pet Goat Strategy. The problem is that the goat still eats too many things, hero or not. The risks of the aggressive Pet Goat Strategy include the following:
- It stretches a volunteer army thin. U.S. military doctrine in the Weinberger-Powell era was more cautious because the Pentagon management did not want to put the troops unnecessarily at risk.
- A preemptive strike, without full support of allies, may undermine future cooperation.
- The “shock and awe” may wear off and the mission may be far from accomplished.
- The President’s ability to respond to another crisis may be limited. Implementation of a preemptive plan may be weak. In fact, by a 15-point margin, the “most likely” U.S. voters believe Democrats would do a better job in Iraq, according to a national AP-AOL poll.

Tuesday, October 31, 2006

Workers' Comp Costs - NY State 27% Above U.S. Average

An association of businesses, the Business Council of New York State, has undertaken reform of Workers' Compensation laws, with a program called Comp Watch. New York State’s cost per Workers' Comp case is 72 percent above the national average. In September 2006 Attorney General Eliot Spitzer endorsed the idea of reforming Workers' Comp in New York State. Crain's Magazine on October 23, 2006 (p. 10) editorialized that such reform would be a step in the direction of removing "one of the most significant drags on the New York economy."

To get some perspective on this issue, CityEconomist interviewed
Peter Rousmaniere, a columnist for a leading insurance magazine, Risk & Insurance. Peter talks with many people throughout the country on Workers' Comp and consults within the field, where he has worked for 20 years. He has an MBA from Harvard.

Do you think Workers' Comp should – and can – be reformed in New York State?
PFR: Yes and yes. The Workers' Comp system everywhere in the United States needs a comprehensive assessment. This could well start in a major state like New York. After all, the whole Workers' Comp system was in part the result of increased interest in labor conditions after the famous, tragic Triangle Shirtwaist Factory fire in 1911, one block from Washington Square. New York State’s first Labor Commissioner was Frances Perkins, who cut her teeth on the Triangle Fire. As you know, she went on to become the first Secretary of FDR’s newly created Labor Department, and the first woman to be a member of the Cabinet.

What do you think is the biggest issue with Workers' Comp? Crain’s picks out the issue of permanent partial disability.
PFR: This is one of a number of symptoms of a basic problem, which is that Workers' Comp has hardly changed since the days of Frances Perkins. It is failing badly in cases of industrial diseases. A case in point is the way that illnesses from the WTC cleanup were mishandled from the perspective both of prevention and compensation. People outside the field don’t realize that many WTC cleanup workers felt they had to misrepresent their conditions to get through the workers comp maze. The next few occupational disasters will not be traditional ones like the Triangle fire but will be in some cases very frightening diseases, as in the WTC cleanup.

Are Workers' Comp costs too high?PFR: The best answer to this often-posed question is that the system is obsolete, which has made it unresponsive, with far too much overhead costs, and universally disliked. The design of the system today is extremely close to where it was in its birth, 1910-1925. Work has changed, exposure to injury and illness has changed. The science of detecting occupational risks has moved ahead greatly. Injured worker options have changed – career-change options are far greater than in the 1920s. Medicine has changed. The whole disability system, enormous compared to 1920, is cumbersome, overused, and an invitation to moral-hazard problems.

Will the Federal Government come in to make needed changes?
PFR: It is clear to people in the field that creeping federalization will occur, with Washington paying for an increasing amount of work-injury costs. But no one really knows how much and who should be accountable to manage this shift – or indeed whether such a shift is good for workers and employers. The Federal oversight body for Wall Street, the SEC, fell down on the job while your Attorney General picked up the slack. Federal doesn’t mean better.

What is the solution, then, do you think?
PFR: The main solution is that the WC system needs to be better integrated into health plans and into other disability programs. This is not going to be an easy task. We saw what happened when the Clinton Administration tried to reform health care. But it is arguably easier for a governor to take on a task like this than a President. At least the Federal-State issues are not as thorny. A group of governors might also undertake reforms. It might start with an in-depth assessment. The last time such an investigation happened was in the 1970s. This study spurred states to make much-delayed reforms, generally favoring workers who had been under-protected.

Thank you. This was an exploratory interview. Can we get back to you if we have more questions?PFR: Absolutely. New York State seems to be on the verge of a lot of good reforms. I would be glad to help any way I can.

© Copyright 2006 by CityEconomist.

Thursday, October 26, 2006

HEALTH CARE | Spending ≠ Longevity

Most Americans are now very dissatisfied with the high cost of medical care, and the percentage expressing this view has been rising rapidly.

Yet how much people spend on health care seems to have little to do with how long they live. Hawaii has longest-lived residents at 80 years life expectancy, whereas Washington, D.C. residents have a life expectancy of only 72 years, a gap of eight years.

The major differences are not in infant mortality or the life expectancy of elderly people, but in the number of people who die as youths or in middle age.

  • Longest life expectancy: Asian-American women in Bergen County, N.J. live the longest with an average life expectancy of 91 years.
  • Shortest life expectancy: Native Americans in several rural counties in South Dakota have a life expectancy of 66.6 years. 
  • That is a 24.4-year difference between the two county groups.
  • New York State ranks a surprisingly poor 19th, with an average life expectancy of 77.7 years. 
  • Connecticut does better at 4th place with an average life expectancy of 78.7 years. 
  • New Jersey ranks in 23rd place with a life expectancy of 77.5 years.

The research was by the Harvard University Initiative for Global Health and the Harvard School of Public Health, led by Dr. Christopher J. L. Murray. They conclude that life expectancy is primarily determined by the prevalence of chronic illnesses – for example, heart disease, cancer and injuries from alcohol-related traffic accidents. The found little relationship between life expectancy and income, infant mortality rates, violence, or lack of health insurance.

My sources were a Business Week article and the September issue of the medical journal of the Public Library of Science, PLoS Medicine.